![FOF组合基金(第2版):大数据金融丛书](https://wfqqreader-1252317822.image.myqcloud.com/cover/460/25462460/b_25462460.jpg)
其他
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0002.jpg?sign=1738910694-UHHRri5V2bkT4cq2N2jAxvgKGdFryJQn-0-32fb7db60b8e1bbb9573c7f0823cdebe)
图1.12 中国台湾地区FOF统计数据
数据来源:Bloomberg,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0003.jpg?sign=1738910694-W8LwtKo29wzrZoztjK4LnNUjq758ZzSi-0-4a35340e96571def5a4b45b9096e29cb)
图1.25 桥水全天候基金的走势图
数据来源:Bridgewater,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0004.jpg?sign=1738910694-MHpLMX6uf3S0lIc0x6BeoW5RYS66coGv-0-f6915c39fbb7cc186a25edb5015b57f0)
图3.13 耶鲁基金模式资产配置
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0005.jpg?sign=1738910694-6Ha8jG5AZaNcRr9BkvgcgEDyUyFLSLYH-0-7358b494de23b936af18e9d405ad0a3a)
图3.16 耶鲁基金表现情况
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0006.jpg?sign=1738910694-EkRwofLFJaDRXob9ZKUIvfrBva7COYSQ-0-02534ab0b32cda0377adbaa58a60d20a)
图3.22 从1926年7月到2013年8月美股四大板块的收益率走势对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0007.jpg?sign=1738910694-X1xtqRB0or18PUvhkS9YSKqDGmoTNfpx-0-6e7a5c46b06b369e54c3d48808aeefa5)
图3.26 先锋平衡指数基金历史表现
资料来源:先锋公司官网
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0008.jpg?sign=1738910694-ICi8oP5USKK6bPsr69M38lvIh3U5EXMY-0-3556b03c2ec8b4e016ecbc0e48cffc40)
图3.30 多资产ETF跟踪指数走势历史表现对比
资料来源:彭博
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0009.jpg?sign=1738910694-1KXIL2M9OHCEHtGiLJlwFfDrUU6Ij1UX-0-2fd0d5048c6dae19959d38eb9d415a64)
图4.3 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(年度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0010.jpg?sign=1738910694-RFS9QRuF5E5IATx76poTq7xgmuh5U3zz-0-bbd47ee01cd381d305e97f83bf2c0071)
图4.4 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(季度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0011.jpg?sign=1738910694-K5YlN98oCztwkkM7QwicarBUU85Upurz-0-70d98bc90633079b9cb753effe9af753)
图4.5 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(月度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0012.jpg?sign=1738910694-HMDPNwIIrqRjjX8W7Xos2dMctkMeiS5K-0-8e826e61f540f05d40e8c084546e6292)
图4.6 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(两周调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0013.jpg?sign=1738910694-N720TlMfxZ4Exe3dEcU2UrlNXvrBrKnE-0-9fbac528dba9273615a26e7bfbdc780a)
图4.7 基于价值因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0014.jpg?sign=1738910694-nq1HyLmEemx1XcFBfsRjdFCPWmxyH9Xj-0-3f881c753e6a429bb1b7d27ce6facdec)
图4.8 基于成长因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0015.jpg?sign=1738910694-dTz6OCN0qdFphgHrdkP9oG61k3FGs3Lw-0-8cf1b076370ec52cfb0de956cd312c64)
图4.9 基于质量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0016.jpg?sign=1738910694-8wsksdVBejruu8MtpYttSIXGB74PnFxY-0-b5ed64a6dcaa40192b1c5083fd701538)
图4.10 基于股息因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0017.jpg?sign=1738910694-N6jDr4EHNWKPUPeai2vbhfSD2PpgqGJm-0-418c675dba30cdf99eac9078cf6b89c9)
图4.11 基于规模因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0018.jpg?sign=1738910694-oL1yGzxtMVwNGZ1yZcUIHyg43oZD7Zk4-0-241d6935205b54d1a8fc27b1b68a259b)
图4.12 基于动量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0019.jpg?sign=1738910694-bxxwuOaMkwofdvvCG8Ipg9XWDqfG1RiI-0-5c99dc04f4fa47551f119c02e22b84a7)
图4.13 基于反转因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0020.jpg?sign=1738910694-SLIPrOGDcaqcSwWNFb3o9z4DML8uFz7H-0-dd609d95e007c4e0cf39ddce2a2adfa9)
图4.14 基于分析师预期因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0021.jpg?sign=1738910694-P0AvDo98AZVJsoxWqSiqKsy5m4fIOL8S-0-6b9f4a8242f536ec8e566b2566562cf5)
图4.15 基于情绪因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0022.jpg?sign=1738910694-GfHqwVnvQLaJ4bsfxIJ0t9ownacWHkzd-0-e52ec3c343b3fb9d6e57e97940391dd1)
图4.16 基于人气指标因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0023.jpg?sign=1738910694-KYX416D5alWusNuVez0KwMg2fEUfkkJ0-0-059246b3e432ae5fad9af92808d3ee66)
图4.17 基于波动因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0024.jpg?sign=1738910694-CrkdH5qRTAjOSeS5NEQFVM11bfqUP8iC-0-aa7fcbe48f81af39e2df32feeef65412)
图4.19 基于多因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0025.jpg?sign=1738910694-HPPenIoPDb33sLEkeQqWpGsrWa4qJexX-0-71e1e06be6b6c8446379673e11c19c05)
图4.20 回测净值曲线图(含货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0026.jpg?sign=1738910694-dTuvkv6xIgyjB1KXP5WreRgA76FMWQPy-0-4dacd70cf7446a0e605d6dc462caa55f)
图4.21 回测净值曲线图(剔除货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0027.jpg?sign=1738910694-8ltLgvXnscSvajtB16AnNIpmRZFt6Tst-0-e41079fda0e29e1f1912d98088d89b18)
图5.6 火鸡策略曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0028.jpg?sign=1738910694-ATLV6CQG0auAN8010pTbBmGJZ4AvvWrX-0-133463ecfca70c8208b246a28e85800c)
图5.20 市场情绪指标择时策略
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0029.jpg?sign=1738910694-Fysu8JnDbFU5k088t3aIHIC50uclNkt6-0-39313a42d3dfe0951448ee7b90588550)
图5.30 各资产净值走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0030.jpg?sign=1738910694-VP5nZj6SG1G8hLlnmNCxZpIBnCKz4Rzo-0-fc585a000870006230f9a80433551c67)
图6.1 大类资产时间序列动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0031.jpg?sign=1738910694-IuhthiqmTkrfIsTgUzPuH8LoTzwOPbJk-0-e4f81d0bc63ca5668843f0f2b7819abd)
图6.3 大类资产横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0032.jpg?sign=1738910694-mofyHbL09Ane93VC66AaaFet9vKBoIpY-0-a5e69d369bc36b3693edbb0db403d88d)
图6.4 改进的横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0033.jpg?sign=1738910694-2KU45LJhmbYDT95Tp1ozn7fIyFsobF1E-0-fd8d76d70d1f38250481ba2985314d21)
图6.5 时间序列动量与横截面动量的叠加
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0034.jpg?sign=1738910694-XvUE0JD6rZZGnWXArLKxooEIIIt3oPg4-0-2ee898250ef58cb6c1561b20df41685d)
图6.15 奇异谱模型回测结果
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0035.jpg?sign=1738910694-6vnoitxpQO38CghPUBU2qR5SYXV4OknF-0-3ecc1fd8ed9c35e043609be42e8b4f5b)
图6.16 申万一级行业指数单季度涨跌幅统计(%)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0036.jpg?sign=1738910694-kNOlrbIxrEWs3GgnMU4s0SfkFJ592eL9-0-0c47089e52f1fb6f733525ad94a59f6f)
图6.21 多期风格雷达——大摩多因子策略(数据日期:2015年4月)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0037.jpg?sign=1738910694-7JgvDtTPbh0t998IeRnbyXW9RLM5lmaR-0-6a92228814d6ee75a12d866fdd87acd6)
图6.22 基于风格雷达的FOF表现(数据 日 期:2014/12—2016/1)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0038.jpg?sign=1738910694-euUnEJB4YIgGMPJVNPO6AghHcuUs4bdT-0-9f4a8180854a452e50e6b2683962659a)
图6.24 某只基金的半年、季、月频风格画像
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0039.jpg?sign=1738910694-2U0JKlpxdRUYQOoaNWP3x4c8imKZ08Z2-0-71fee18931c7e2b4d0f8ea92bbffbed4)
图6.28 策略净值曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0040.jpg?sign=1738910694-7MQ9DkFMTsBu5RrsEuYDSwg5RTzIzlpc-0-23f4a7a422d076c1107c9f343289921d)
图6.30 策略被选基金统计
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0041.jpg?sign=1738910694-4jogDkStkV7VcDHIa6jy1gou6VHtcav6-0-fdf4233e1a48df59b9d21b3b5afdb8af)
图6.38 沪深300指数(大盘指数)、中证500指数(中小盘指数)和中证1000指数(小盘指数)走势图对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0042.jpg?sign=1738910694-kQ81oG9sFacnbXYtAq8C6xNdPhstiS6E-0-d18c19c2b4b4a09fc203897b7b9d745b)
图6.40 标准二分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0043.jpg?sign=1738910694-t5el8Ktfsqttdzqt3jOEDpWiBIdGEbiG-0-6a16ac7886ae4e92983901d9de23496e)
图6.41 有序多分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0044.jpg?sign=1738910694-EscVlMTl9FErAOscSBaoBuU9TNPSOQU3-0-1f97cb35be000c55e2d1386e3ac5263a)
图7.4 国外目标日期策略指数的配置变化
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0045.jpg?sign=1738910694-Cl1XrvcFLcJYqsNDJZfBFddM6j4bMIi0-0-7199a3921a9ab7f1e6f6fd87a3507668)
图7.9 中证平安2025退休宝指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0046.jpg?sign=1738910694-1Wy36IIflgT7KntwvBOdVucNVmCPt155-0-105b36a9ee5247d6eff24743adf7a412)
图7.13 标普500每日风险控制系列指数走势图
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0047.jpg?sign=1738910694-LpEKjrvBYkTqXMMq7mMH3Lyhqe0UvuZC-0-1b38d3ec8536b3391131bf8f598b8d0d)
图7.14 标普目标风险系列指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0048.jpg?sign=1738910694-U43At52qccjrO5keJ9AsdVVMwjGky9tC-0-9b35bf08dc6acd5bdfd605b9ddb3f3e5)
图8.11 对冲基金FOF的模拟业绩
数据来源:Risk Parity Portfolios with Risk Factors
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0049.jpg?sign=1738910694-pcwyGsDjdrqEFAf6v2rHvthmgAXTc0ZM-0-0ad081797b125e7f7b5dec9416038006)
图9.7 2000—2015年总体基金的资产配置变化图
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0050.jpg?sign=1738910694-bCZSttgCNnZoMItL1mulcWCdxQ991z0c-0-011e3e7f1487520fc2c1127fb1e12d6f)
图11.1 多因子模型的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0051.jpg?sign=1738910694-cBDVGSgWFSdZieS1GHV63JRnxT731pjD-0-c17a319c476690b09e7563fe34ada4c0)
图11.2 大/小盘风格轮动策略收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0052.jpg?sign=1738910694-gqJ5A5FPfdLQK0AtocbCypnE250KmAXj-0-85c603bc1af4f7a1a9b265dcfb949290)
图11.3 顺周期行业轮动策略的收益率图示
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0053.jpg?sign=1738910694-GDhUFvVA7aFiJ1TxJcOnSYaDvwlscAZK-0-5edabc5c0a6a17ba2202b6d3c9780ab7)
图11.7 2006年一致预期EPS相对于2005年实际EPS的增速
数据来源:[谢江 2008]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0054.jpg?sign=1738910694-SNS4ZBTRP6sm1K4TDRCvWbvJGrUGRTct-0-c9571aee86adb1b83192cc29d2898c61)
图11.8 不同一致预期指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[卜永强 2012]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0055.jpg?sign=1738910694-eWjhyvASfgrai6dcwaST4bJ7EJNjawbz-0-3b75e4d667b95dc7c3afc5d16fb2f0ec)
图11.9 筹码选股模型中单个指标在不同年份的收益率情况
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0056.jpg?sign=1738910694-zq896SlpbAUPCaAB1KPl2kV5RFl0W6n1-0-597d87ec731efa7b5767e5288951cd34)
图11.10 筹码选股模型中单个指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0057.jpg?sign=1738910694-5rwQVCHpywEdOeubJXCpTW0LF3Ati64g-0-37a9ae59d4aa39ee46c4689d995fbb99)
图11.15 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图2004.1.2—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0058.jpg?sign=1738910694-ckntRZzSzpIY20c6b52aJTHcNjcYcc2Z-0-6b3e2b985159e74eb1a950250866784d)
图11.16 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2004.1.2—2005.12.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0059.jpg?sign=1738910694-cqMpEqPueBjtX2XNInkhyxXlO0XnEj0c-0-2fc04cf8fa8b7eb085fd65fc1ea00e22)
图11.17 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2006.1.4—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0060.jpg?sign=1738910694-ym2oZaZ4SbOKCa2bJQzjVAsfB16eYEw7-0-35a45ce42ef4f33e4ee78d218c0c5686)
图11.31 正向基差套利原理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0061.jpg?sign=1738910694-wShSC1rPYvGZH4Bh6NYewIblOsgFsftV-0-1a34438738af422bb983ea4dafcbe33c)
图16.1 Bridgewater的绝对阿尔法累计收益率对比
数据来源:MPI Case Study
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0062.jpg?sign=1738910694-L0X1OgV8OsCmjRLPxXNdgcCJW85Y95kr-0-77aae9212bcc8555a076ae39c5450f62)
图16.9 长期资本管理基金净值走势